93/100
Data integrity
The record contains a useful number of independent observations.
Submitted byNorthline Systems
Opening Range Continuation
CME_MINI:MES1! · 5 minute · Jan 2022–Jul 2026
Report sealedJuly 30, 2026 · 14:32:08 ET
MethodologyMethodology 1.0.0
Input fingerprint51b0…7aa9
Current stateForward active
0/100
OVERALL EVIDENCE
moderate evidence
The historical result survives modeled costs and is supported by a broad sample. Forward evidence remains young and limits the overall conclusion.
Net profit$2,163Historical claim
Profit factor1.41After declared costs
Maximum drawdown$667Observed historical
Closed trades18652.7% win rate
01
Independent summary
What the submitted evidence supports—and what it does not.
SUPPORTED
The submitted trade record contains a repeatable historical edge after the declared commission model and survives added execution friction.
LIMITED
The forward observation window is not yet long enough to establish that historical expectancy has persisted across a complete market cycle.
NOT CLAIMED
Verification does not predict future profit, certify the strategy owner, or guarantee identical live execution.
02
Evidence dimensions
The overall rating is an index. Each underlying finding is the evidence.
72/100
Performance quality
Average closed-trade expectancy is positive.
84/100
Statistical robustness
Trade order was reshuffled deterministically to expose path dependence.
83/100
Execution realism
The edge survives this additional execution burden.
59/100
Risk quality
Extended loss sequences test whether the declared risk plan is plausible.
75/100
Regime resilience
Monthly breadth shows whether profit recurs rather than arriving in one period.
41/100
Forward evidence
83 signals have been timestamped across 147 days. This dimension grows with observation time rather than payment.
03
Historical claim / forward record
The frontier marks the point after which signals were recorded before their outcomes existed.
Historical strategy record
Timestamped forward record
Forward frontier
Jan 2022Verification began · Mar 5, 2026Jul 2026
04
Execution stress
Every closed trade is degraded by an additional modeled cost.
Added cost / tradeNet profitProfit factorResult
Declared baseline$2,1631.41Survives
+$2.50$1,6981.31Survives
+$5.00$1,2331.21Survives
+$10.00$3031.05Survives
+$20.00-$1,5570.79Fails
05
Monthly distribution
Positive totals are useful; the shape of those totals tells us whether the edge appears repeatedly.
Profitable months16 / 32
Average trade$12
Longest loss streak9 trades
Monte Carlo P95 DD$1,070
06
Material findings
The few conclusions a strategy owner should carry into the next decision.
Edge survives modeled friction
At an added $10.00 per closed trade, modeled net profit is $303.
Returns are not dominated by five trades
The five largest winners account for 17.4% of gross profit.
Resampled profitability
96.2% of deterministic bootstrap samples finished profitable.
Calendar stability
16 of 32 months finished positive.
Forward record remains young
The 147-day record is informative but does not yet cover a complete volatility cycle. This finding will update automatically as evidence accrues.
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